Biological age construction for prediction of mortality in the Chinese population

Mar 28, 2025GeroScience

Using biological age to predict death risk in the Chinese population

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Abstract

During 1,443,857 person-years of follow-up, 12,679 deaths were recorded across two Chinese cohorts.

  • Baseline Pheno-Age and KDM-Age showed strong predictive performance for mortality, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.810 and 0.806 in the Kailuan Study I, and 0.867 and 0.819 in the Kailuan Study II, respectively.
  • The hazard ratios for per standard deviation increment of baseline Pheno-Age acceleration and mortality were 1.24, while for KDM-Age acceleration, it was 1.16.
  • Both Pheno-Age and KDM-Age demonstrated similar predictive performance when using cumulative average or updated biological age.
  • Stronger associations between biological age acceleration and mortality were found in adults aged 60 years or younger, smokers, and drinkers.

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Full Text

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