Superior cardiovascular protection with GLP-1 RAs over SGLT2 inhibitors in DM and HFpEF: A propensity score matching study

Jun 26, 2025PloS one

Better heart protection with GLP-1 receptor drugs than SGLT2 inhibitors in diabetes and heart failure with preserved pumping

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Abstract

GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced the risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes by 22% compared to SGLT2 inhibitors over three years.

  • GLP-1 receptor agonists significantly lowered the risk of progression to systolic heart failure by 40% compared to SGLT2 inhibitors.
  • The risk of stroke was reduced by 25% with GLP-1 receptor agonists in this patient population.
  • Cardiovascular protective effects were most prominent in the first year, showing a diminishing trend over time.
  • Trends indicated fewer myocardial infarctions and lower mortality rates with GLP-1 receptor agonists, though these were not statistically significant.
  • Subgroup analyses suggested greater benefits for patients aged 60 and older, women, Caucasians, and those without significant kidney issues.

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Key numbers

0.784
Composite Cardiovascular Outcome Risk Reduction
at one year for vs.
0.60
Risk Reduction
for risk with vs.
0.75
Stroke Risk Reduction
for stroke risk with vs.

Key figures

Fig 1
Cohort construction process for patients treated with versus
Sets up matched patient groups to fairly compare cardiovascular outcomes between GLP-1 RAs and SGLT2 inhibitors
pone.0326534.g001
  • Panel GLP-1 agonists cohort
    Inclusion criteria include no prior , stroke, acute myocardial infarction, or SGLT2 inhibitor use, diagnosis of , and long-term GLP-1 RA prescription starting between 2013/03/01 and 2022/12/31; initial sample size N=3,247, reduced to N=2,677 after applying criteria, then matched to N=2,177 after 1:1 (PSM)
  • Panel SGLT-2 inhibitors cohort
    Inclusion criteria include no prior systolic heart failure, stroke, acute myocardial infarction, or GLP-1 receptor agonist use, diagnosis of diastolic heart failure, and long-term SGLT2 inhibitor prescription starting between 2013/03/01 and 2022/12/31; initial sample size N=3,247, reduced to N=2,677 after applying criteria, then matched to N=2,177 after 1:1 PSM
  • Panels follow-up
    Both cohorts have a 3-year follow-up period tracking all-cause death, systolic heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke
Fig 2
vs : cardiovascular outcomes over three years in matched patients
Highlights lower risk of cardiovascular events and heart failure progression with GLP-1 RAs versus SGLT2 inhibitors
pone.0326534.g002
  • Panel Composite cardiovascular endpoint
    Number of patients reaching at 1, 2, and 3 years with hazard ratios showing lower risk for GLP-1 RAs
  • Panel All-cause mortality
    Number of deaths at 1, 2, and 3 years with hazard ratios showing no statistically significant difference between GLP-1 RAs and SGLT2 inhibitors
  • Panel Systolic heart failure
    Number of patients progressing to at 1, 2, and 3 years with hazard ratios indicating lower risk for GLP-1 RAs
  • Panel Acute myocardial infarction
    Number of acute myocardial infarctions at 1, 2, and 3 years with hazard ratios showing no statistically significant difference
  • Panel Stroke
    Number of strokes at 1, 2, and 3 years with hazard ratios indicating lower risk for GLP-1 RAs
Fig 3
vs : cardiovascular event probabilities over three years in patients with and
Highlights lower cardiovascular event probabilities over time with GLP-1 RAs compared to SGLT2 inhibitors in DM and HFpEF patients
pone.0326534.g003
  • Panel A
    Cumulative probability of over 1095 days; GLP-1 RA group appears to have lower event probability than SGLT2 inhibitor group
  • Panel B
    Cumulative probability of over 1095 days; GLP-1 RA group shows lower probability than SGLT2 inhibitor group
  • Panel C
    Cumulative probability of stroke over 1095 days; GLP-1 RA group shows lower probability than SGLT2 inhibitor group
  • Panel D
    Cumulative probability of all-cause death over 1095 days; GLP-1 RA group shows lower probability than SGLT2 inhibitor group
  • Panel E
    Cumulative probability of acute myocardial infarction over 1095 days; GLP-1 RA group shows lower probability than SGLT2 inhibitor group
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Full Text

What this is

  • This study compares the cardiovascular protective effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and diabetes mellitus (DM).
  • Using data from the TriNetX database, it included 2,177 matched pairs of patients treated with either GLP-1 RAs or SGLT2 inhibitors.
  • The study assessed outcomes over three years, focusing on all-cause mortality and progression to serious cardiovascular events.

Essence

  • GLP-1 RAs provide superior cardiovascular protection compared to SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with HFpEF and DM over a three-year follow-up. Specifically, GLP-1 RAs significantly reduce the risk of progression to systolic heart failure and stroke.

Key takeaways

  • GLP-1 RAs significantly reduced the risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes at one year (HR 0.784), two years (HR 0.813), and three years (HR 0.825) compared to SGLT2 inhibitors.
  • GLP-1 RAs showed a 40% reduction in the risk of progression to systolic heart failure (HR 0.60) and a 25% reduction in stroke risk (HR 0.75) compared to SGLT2 inhibitors.
  • Subgroup analyses indicated that patients aged ≥60, women, and those with better-controlled DM experienced more pronounced benefits from GLP-1 RAs.

Caveats

  • The study relies on database-driven diagnoses, which may affect the precision of HFpEF identification. Key clinical data, such as NT-proBNP levels, were not available, potentially introducing bias.
  • As a retrospective study, unmeasured variables may have introduced residual confounding despite rigorous matching techniques.

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