Infectious diseases and therapy

Effectiveness of 2025-2026 mRNA-1283 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccines in Preventing COVID-19 Outcomes in US Adults 65 and Older

Updated

Abstract

Absolute vaccine effectiveness (aVE) of mRNA-1283 against COVID-19-related hospitalization was 59.3% among adults aged ≥ 65 years.

  • mRNA-1283 showed aVE of 42.0% against medically attended COVID-19 in adults ≥ 65 years.
  • For adults aged ≥ 75 years, aVE of mRNA-1283 was 66.9% against hospitalization and 50.2% against medically attended COVID-19.
  • BNT162b2 displayed aVE of 48.3% against hospitalization and 41.2% against medically attended COVID-19 in adults ≥ 65 years.
  • Among adults aged ≥ 75 years, aVE of BNT162b2 was 45.9% against hospitalization and 44.0% against medically attended COVID-19.
  • These findings suggest mRNA-1283 may offer more protection than BNT162b2 for older adults.

Simplified

Full Text

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Funding

Competing interests

Declarations. Conflict of Interest: Nevena Vicic, Heather Hensler, Ekkehard Beck, Emily Patry, Andre B. Araujo, and Amanda Wilson are employees of and shareholders in Moderna, Inc. Alina Bogdanov, Taylor Ryan, Ni Zeng, and Machaon Bonafede are employees of Veradigm Inc. Veradigm was contracted by Moderna, Inc., and received fees for study design, data management, and statistical analyses. Ethical Approval: This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and relevant guidelines for observational studies. The research involved de-identified claims data and did not require direct patient involvement. Therefore, specific ethics approval and informed consent were not needed, as the data were anonymized and complied with patient privacy regulations. Access to the data was provided under agreements with the data provider, which ensured adherence to ethical standards, including the protection of patient confidentiality.
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