Interplay between tumor mutation burden and the tumor microenvironment predicts the prognosis of pan-cancer anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy

Aug 8, 2025Frontiers in immunology

How tumor mutation levels and the tumor environment together predict outcomes of anti-PD-1/PD-L1 cancer treatment

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Abstract

A 10-gene risk signature was developed that shows reliable prognostic ability across different cancer types.

  • The predictive power of (TMB) varies significantly among cancer types and is influenced by the (TME).
  • In tumors with a favorable immune microenvironment, characterized by high CD8+ T cell infiltration, TMB effectively predicts outcomes.
  • In immunosuppressive environments, TMB alone does not accurately predict patient outcomes.
  • The 10-gene risk signature identified is associated with immunosuppressive TME components, such as elevated levels of M0 macrophages and activated mast cells.
  • RPLP0 was identified as a robust predictive marker; its knockdown in tumor tissues enhanced the efficacy of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in a mouse model.

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Key numbers

HR = 1.912
Risk Score Association with Overall Survival
Higher risk scores correlated with poorer overall survival in the training set.
HR = 2.769
High-Risk Group Survival Analysis
High-risk group showed worse overall survival in the internal validation set.
0.716
Predictive Model ROC AUC
Area under the curve for the predictive model in the training set.

Full Text

What this is

  • This research investigates the relationship between () and the () in predicting responses to anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy across various cancers.
  • It identifies immunosuppression-related genes (ISRGs) that influence 's predictive ability and develops a 10-gene risk model to enhance treatment precision.
  • The findings suggest that 's effectiveness as a biomarker is contingent on its interaction with the , and it proposes RPLP0 as a promising therapeutic target.

Essence

  • The study establishes that 's predictive power for immunotherapy outcomes varies significantly across cancer types and is influenced by the . A novel 10-gene risk model enhances prognostic accuracy and identifies RPLP0 as a key biomarker.

Key takeaways

  • 's predictive ability for immunotherapy varies by cancer type, depending on the . In favorable immune environments, remains predictive, but it fails in immunosuppressive settings.
  • A 10-gene risk signature, derived from screening 304 ISRGs, reliably predicts patient outcomes across multiple cancer types, demonstrating significant associations with components.
  • RPLP0, identified as a robust biomarker, when knocked down in tumor models, enhances the efficacy of immunotherapy, suggesting its potential as a therapeutic target.

Caveats

  • The study primarily relies on retrospective data, limiting its applicability and necessitating further validation in larger, diverse cohorts.
  • Model evaluation may be biased due to the use of cohort-specific cut-off values, which could affect generalizability.

Definitions

  • Tumor Mutation Burden (TMB): The total number of somatic mutations per million bases in the coding regions of a tumor, reflecting its potential for neoantigen production.
  • Tumor Microenvironment (TME): The surrounding cellular environment of a tumor, including immune cells, stromal cells, and extracellular matrix, which influences tumor behavior and treatment response.

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