History of Keratinocyte Carcinoma and Risk of Melanoma: A Prospective Cohort Study

Apr 5, 2017Journal of the National Cancer Institute

Having a history of common skin cancer and the risk of melanoma over time

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Abstract

A personal history of keratinocyte carcinoma is associated with a 2.22-fold increased risk of developing invasive melanoma.

  • 1,949 cases of melanoma were documented over 6.4 million person-years of follow-up.
  • The risk of melanoma is greater for individuals with a history of both basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, with a hazard ratio of 3.40.
  • A history of basal cell carcinoma alone is associated with a hazard ratio of 2.20 for melanoma, while squamous cell carcinoma alone has a hazard ratio of 1.56.
  • There is a significant trend indicating increased melanoma risk with a higher number of keratinocyte carcinomas removed by surgery.
  • In women, a history of keratinocyte carcinoma is particularly associated with a higher risk of head and neck melanomas, with a hazard ratio of 4.17.

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