EClinicalMedicine

Cardiorenal trials should report absolute risk reduction and number needed to treat, not just relative risk reduction

Updated

Abstract

Relative treatment effects may not accurately represent the absolute magnitude of benefit that patients experience from therapies.

  • Absolute risk reduction (ARR) and number needed to treat (NNT) provide critical insights by factoring in baseline event risk and follow-up duration.
  • Similar relative treatment effects can lead to significantly different absolute benefits based on population characteristics and outcome definitions.
  • NNT from one trial should not be used to compare therapies across studies due to variations in populations and endpoints.
  • ARR for time-to-event outcomes should be derived from cumulative event probabilities at a specified time point using appropriate survival methods.
  • Hazard ratios, indicating lower estimated hazards, should not be viewed as equivalent to reductions in cumulative risk.

Simplified

Full Text

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