What this is
- This research investigates 24-hour wrist skin temperature rhythms in young individuals with emerging mood disorders compared to healthy controls.
- It examines how these temperature patterns relate to clinical stages and mood disorder subtypes.
- Findings suggest that youth with mood disorders exhibit disrupted skin temperature rhythms, indicating potential circadian disturbances.
Essence
- Youth with mood disorders show delayed, less stable, and more variable skin temperature rhythms compared to healthy controls, suggesting circadian disruptions. These findings may serve as a non-invasive biomarker for assessing mood disorders.
Key takeaways
- Youth with mood disorders have a lower rhythm-adjusted mean skin temperature (29.94 ± 0.10 °C) compared to healthy controls (31.04 ± 0.25 °C, p < 0.001). This indicates a significant disruption in their circadian rhythm.
- The peak skin temperature occurs later for youth with mood disorders (0533 ± 0014) compared to controls (0332 ± 0036, p = 0.002). This delay may contribute to sleep disturbances often observed in this population.
- No significant differences in skin temperature parameters were found across clinical stages of mood disorders, suggesting that these disruptions are more closely linked to illness subtypes rather than the severity of the disorder.
Caveats
- The cross-sectional design limits causal inferences regarding the relationship between skin temperature rhythms and mood disorders.
- Potential confounding factors such as medication effects and lifestyle variables were not systematically controlled, which may influence temperature regulation.
Definitions
- Mesor: The average level of a rhythmic variable over a defined period, representing the central tendency of skin temperature.
- Acrophase: The timing of the peak value of a rhythmic variable, indicating when the highest skin temperature occurs during the 24-hour cycle.
- Inter-daily stability (IS): A measure of the consistency of a rhythm across days, reflecting how stable the skin temperature pattern is over time.
- Intra-daily variability (IV): A measure of the fragmentation of a rhythm within a day, indicating how much the skin temperature fluctuates throughout the day.
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Materials And Methods
Participants
This study included young people (aged 13-35 years) seeking mental health care at primary care–based early intervention services (headspace) and healthy controls from the same local community without any personal history of a mental disorder. Recruitment occurred between October 2008 and January 2024 across 2 transdiagnostic studies at the University of Sydney’s Brain and Mind Centre: Youth Mental Health Follow-Up Study (YMH) (Lee et al., 2018) and Neurobiology Youth Follow-Up Study (Nichles et al., 2021). Detailed information about these studies is available in previous publications (Lee et al., 2018; Carpenter et al., 2020; Nichles et al., 2021). Briefly, these studies involved assessments across clinical, self-report, neurocognitive, sleep-wake (e.g., wearable sensor data), and biological domains (e.g., blood sampling) at one or multiple time points. Participants were excluded if they had insufficient English proficiency, an intellectual disability, and in addition, for the YMH study, a history of neurological disease, medical conditions affecting brain function, recent electroconvulsive therapy, or current substance dependence.
Participants included in the current analysis had at least 5 valid days of wearable sensor data (skin temperature and motor activity recording) from a GENEActiv device, as well as clinical assessments conducted within 6 months of the wearable sensor recording. Healthy controls, recruited from the same metropolitan area and without a personal history of a mental disorder, also completed the wearable sensor component. Ethics approval was obtained from the University of Sydney Human Research Ethics Committee (2012/1631) for the YMH study and the Sydney Local Health District Human Research Ethics Committee (2020/ETH01272↗) for the Neurobiology study. All participants provided written informed consent; for those under 16 years, parental/guardian consent was also obtained.
Measures
Trained clinical researchers administered a series of multimodal assessments, including the following measures reported in this paper:
The following assessments were conducted only for people with emerging mood disorders:
Wearable Sensor Data and Processing
Raw GENEactiv data was processed using an open-source R package, GGIR (version 3.0.5), developed for multi-day accelerometer data processing (Migueles et al., 2019). Post-processing was completed using the package mMARCH.AC (version 2.9.2) according to protocols established for the “Mobile Motor Activity Research Consortium for Health” (mMARCH) (Guo et al., 2023).
Skin Temperature Data Processing
Temperature data were collected at 30-s intervals and processed independently of acceleration data. During GGIR processing, these raw measurements were aggregated into 15-min intervals using arithmetic means. We observed that when participants resumed wearing the device after removal, temperature readings were unreliably low for a period of time. Therefore, to maintain data quality, entire days were excluded from analysis if any non-wear periods were detected by GGIR. For inclusion in the primary analysis, participants were required to have at least 2 days of complete skin temperature data (Thomas and Burr, 2008). A secondary analysis including only participants with 5 or more days of data is presented in the Supplementary Materials↗. The reported parameters included the following:
The 24-h cosinor analysis was performed in 2 key steps. First, using the “ActCosinor” function, we averaged the 15-min temperature measurements across days for each participant and fitted a cosine curve with a 24-h period. Then, using the “GLMMcosinor” R package, we fitted a mixed-effects cosinor model that accounts for group differences (Control vs Mood disorder cases, Tripartite groups, and Clinical Stages). The model uses a fundamental cosine function:
Y M A c o s ( ) t ( ) 2 24 π t φ * / + = + *
where:
M = mesor
A = amplitude
φ = acrophase
t = time in hours (measured in 15-min intervals over 24 h)
The model was fitted using the cglmm function with a fixed 24-h period and group-specific parameters, allowing for comparison of circadian characteristics between different clinical groups while accounting for the cyclic nature of the temperature rhythm.
Validation of GENEActiv Temperature Measurement
To validate the GENEActiv sensor for skin temperature measurement, we conducted a comparison study with iButton sensors (DS1922L, Maxim Integrated Products, San Jose, CA), which are widely validated peripheral temperature sensors in sleep and circadian research (van Marken Lichtenbelt et al., 2006; Hasselberg et al., 2013; Shin et al., 2017). A subset of participants (n = 37) wore both devices simultaneously with the iButton placed on the inner forearm (closest to the wrist) and GENEActiv on the wrist, under controlled conditions (<30 lux) for approximately 10 h (from 8 h before to 2 h after their habitual sleep time). Bland-Altman analysis and time series comparisons of the simultaneous recordings were conducted to assess agreement between devices (see Supplementary Materials Figures S1-S3↗).
24-h sleep-wake parameters
These parameters are estimated from activity and are explored in a larger sample focused on sleep-wake cycles in a separate publication. GGIR and mMARCH.AC algorithms were used to generate sleep (van Hees et al., 2018), physical activity (van Hees et al., 2013), and circadian parameters (Guo et al., 2023). The following parameters are reported here primarily for comparison with skin temperature:
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analyses were conducted using R (4.2.3) in RStudio (2024.04.2 + 764) and SPSS (version 27.0). Normality of wearable-derived parameter distributions was assessed using QQ plots and Shapiro-Wilk tests. Demographic and clinical variable comparisons between youth with mood disorders and healthy controls were conducted using the Mann–Whitney U test or χ2 test. The Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test or χ2 test was used to examine differences among illness subtypes and clinical stages. Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) was employed to compare each wearable-derived metric (skin temperature and sleep-wake parameters) between youth with mood disorders and healthy controls, as well as across illness subtypes and clinical stages (adjusting for age and sex). Non-normally distributed variables were Box-Cox transformed prior to ANCOVA. For significant results from the Kruskal-Wallis tests, Dunn’s post hoc tests were performed. Bonferroni post hoc pairwise comparisons were conducted for ANCOVA results. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant. For Mann–Whitney U test and Krskal-Wallis test results, data are presented as mean ± standard deviation, whereas data are presented as estimated mean ± standard errors for ANCOVA results. As supplementary analyses, correlations between skin temperature, sleep/wake parameters, and mental health symptoms were explored. As a supplementary analysis, an additional ANCOVA was conducted, controlling for age, sex, and BMI (see Tables S3-S5).
Results
Skin Temperature Rhythms in Youth With Mood Disorders Versus Healthy Controls
Among the young people who have minimum 2 days of completed 24-h skin temperature data included in this study (67% aged 12-25 years; 95% aged 12-30 years), 306 were people with emerging mood disorders (23.42 ± 4.91 years, 65% females) and 48 were healthy controls (24.44 ± 3.38 years, 60% females). The mood disorder group had a significantly higher BMI than the control group (24.70 ± 5.18 kg/m2 vs 22.15 ± 3.62 kg/m2, p = 0.047).
As shown in Table 1 and Figure 1, several significant differences in skin temperature parameters were found between groups after controlling for sex and age. Youth with mood disorders exhibited a lower temperature mesor (29.94 ± 0.10 °C vs 31.04 ± 0.25 °C, p < 0.001) and a significantly delayed acrophase (−1.45 ± 0.06 vs −0.93 ± 0.16 radian, corresponding to 0533 ± 0014 vs 0332 ± 0036, p = 0.002), compared to healthy controls. The mood disorder group also showed lower inter-daily stability (IS; 0.52 ± 0.01 vs 0.60 ± 0.03, p = 0.009) but higher intra-daily variability (IV; 1.51 ± 0.02 vs 1.37 ± 0.06, p = 0.020), relative to healthy controls.
Regarding sleep-wake parameters, youth with mood disorders exhibited significantly lower SRI (46.84 ± 0.84 vs 54.85 ± 2.13, p < 0.001) and lower total activity count (33,615.76 ± 629.76 vs 37,056.88 ± 1593.95 counts per day, p = 0.046), compared to controls. Notably, the phase angle was significantly larger in the mood disorder group (0.31 ± 0.14 vs −0.48 ± 0.35 radian, p = 0.037), indicating a later peak of skin temperature relative to sleep midpoint, compared to healthy controls.

Mean (A) and fitted cosinor curves (B) for wrist skin temperature over 24 h in youth with mood disorders (= 306) and healthy controls (= 48). Temperature data were averaged across all available wear days for each participant to create these curves. n n
| Healthy Controls (= 48)n | Mood Disorders(= 306)n | Mann-Whitney/χ2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 24.44 (3.38) | 23.42 (4.91) | = 6204.5, 0.083U |
| Sex (Female (%)) | 29F (60) | 200F (65) | χ2(1) = 0.444, 0.505 |
| Recording duration (days) | 9.21 (2.45) | 8.64 (3.57) | = 6470.5, 0.183U |
| BMI (kg/m)(%missing BMI)2 | 22.15 (3.62)(63%) | 24.70 (5.18)(25%) | U=1495.5, 0.047 |
| ANCOVA | |||
| Skin temperature parameters | |||
| Mesor (°C) | 31.04 (0.25) | 29.94 (0.10) | (1,350)F=16.29, < 0.001 |
| Amplitude (°C) | 2.07 (0.14) | 1.97 (0.06) | (1,350) = 0.40, 0.526F |
| Acrophase (radians) | -0.93 (0.16) | -1.45 (0.06) | (1,350)F=9.81, 0.002 |
| IS (dimensionless, 0-1) | 0.60 (0.03) | 0.52 (0.01) | (1,350)F=7.00, 0.009 |
| IV (dimensionless, 0-2) | 1.37 (0.06) | 1.51 (0.02) | (1,350)F=5.45, 0.020 |
| RA (dimensionless, 0-1) | 0.07 (0.004) | 0.08 (0.002) | (1,350) = 0.61, 0.437F |
| Sleep-wake parameters | |||
| Sleep efficiency (%) | 84.8 (0.8) | 84.3 (0.3) | (1,350) = 0.38, 0.537F |
| Sleep midpoint (time) | 0403 (0013) | 0409 (0005) | (1,350) = 0.20, 0.652F |
| Sleep duration (h) | 7.22 (0.16) | 7.36 (0.06) | (1,350) = 0.72, 0.396F |
| SRI (0-100) | 54.85 (2.13) | 46.84 (0.84) | (1,350)F=12.24, < 0.001 |
| M10 time (time) | 1512 (0011) | 1506 (0004) | (1,350) = 0.25, 0.619F |
| MVPA (minutes/day) | 87.05 (5.90) | 77.36 (2.33) | (1,350) = 2.33, 0.128F |
| TAC (counts/day) | 37,056.88 (1593.95) | 33,615.76 (629.76) | (1,350)F=4.03, 0.046 |
| Phase angle (radians) | -0.48 (0.35) | 0.31 (0.14) | (1,350)F=4.39, 0.037 |
Skin Temperature Rhythms Across Illness Subtypes
Table 2 summarizes the skin temperature and sleep-wake characteristics between illness subtypes. Figure 2 displays the mean skin temperature along with fitted cosinor curves for each subtype. A demographic and clinical comparison of these subtypes is provided in Table S1. Among skin temperature parameters, the “circadian-bipolar spectrum” subtype showed significantly higher mesor (30.27 ± 0.27 °C) but lower RA (0.07 ± 0.005; indicating weaker rhythmicity) compared to “neurodevelopmental-psychosis” (29.27 ± 0.28 °C and 0.09 ± 0.005, respectively) (Table 2).
Analysis of sleep-wake parameters revealed that the “neurodevelopmental-psychosis” subtype exhibited a significantly delayed sleep midpoint compared to the “hyperarousal anxious-depression” subtype (0455 ± 0014 vs 0404 ± 0006, p = 0.023).

Mean (A) and fitted cosinor curves (B) for circadian wrist skin temperature over 24 h across illness subtypes. Temperature data were averaged across all available wear days for each participant to create these curves.
| Hyperarousal Anxious-Depression(= 209)n | Circadian-Bipolar Spectrum(= 43)n | Neurodevelopmental-Psychosis(= 40)n | ANCOVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skin temperature parameters | ||||
| Mesor (°C) | 29.90 (0.12) | * | * | (2,287)F=3.38, 0.036 |
| Amplitude (°C) | 1.97 (0.07) | 1.84 (0.15) | 2.27 (0.16) | (2,287) = 2.03, 0.134F |
| Acrophase (radians) | -1.47 (0.08) | -1.44 (0.18) | -1.40 (0.18) | (2,287) = 0.07, 0.933F |
| IS (0-1) | 0.51 (0.01) | 0.53 (0.03) | 0.56 (0.03) | (2,287) = 1.03, 0.358F |
| IV (0-2) | 1.51 (0.03) | 1.59 (0.06) | 1.41 (0.06) | (2,287) = 1.97, 0.141F |
| RA (0-1) | 0.08 (0.002) | * | * | (2,287) = 3.27,F0.039 |
| Sleep-wake parameters | ||||
| Sleep efficiency (%) | 84.1 (0.04) | 85.0 (0.08) | 84.5 (0.09) | (2,287) = 0.52, 0.594F |
| Sleep midpoint (time) | * | 0357 (0014) | * | (2,287) = 3.80,F0.023 |
| Sleep duration (h) | 7.26 (0.08) | 7.68 (0.18) | 7.57 (0.18) | (2,287) = 3.01, 0.051F |
| SRI (0-100) | 45.91 (1.06) | 47.85 (2.34) | 48.58 (2.44) | (2,287) = 0.69, 0.505F |
| M10 time (time) | 1501 (0006) | 1506 (0012) | 1534 (0013) | (2,287) = 2.77, 0.064F |
| MVPA (minutes/day) | 78.90 (2.84) | 71.18 (6.28) | 67.29 (6.54) | (2,287) = 1.71, 0.183F |
| TAC (counts/day) | 34,023.33 (770.32) | 32,327.36(1705.29) | 30,827.71 (1774.70) | (2,287) = 1.58, 0.209F |
| Phase angle (radians) | 0.41 (0.18) | -0.11 (0.40) | 0.60 (0.41) | (2,287) = 0.92, 0.402F |
Skin Temperature Rhythms Across Clinical Stages
Table 3 summarizes the skin temperature and sleep-wake characteristics of the 3 clinical stages, and Figure 3 shows the corresponding skin temperature patterns. A demographic and clinical comparison of these clinical stages is presented in Table S2.
Although no significant differences were found in skin temperature parameters across illness stages, sleep-wake patterns varied significantly. Sleep duration was longer in more advanced illness stages (Stage 1a: 6.89 ± 0.17 h, Stage 1b: 7.35 ± 0.09 h, Stage 2+: 7.71 ± 0.13 h, p < 0.001), while SRI showed the opposite pattern, being highest in Stage 1a and lower in more advanced stages (Stage 1a: 52.07 ± 2.22, Stage 1b: 45.94 ± 1.15, Stage 2+: 45.26 ± 1.74, p = 0.032). M10 time (peak activity period) showed a progressive delay in more advanced illness stages (Stage 1a: 1429 ± 0012, Stage 1b: 1511 ± 0006, Stage 2+: 1518 ± 0009, p = 0.002). Physical activity levels decreased in more advanced illness stages, as evidenced by both moderate/vigorous physical activity (p < 0.001) and total activity count (p < 0.001) being lower in Stage 2+ and Stage 1b, compared to Stage 1a.

Mean (A) and fitted cosinor curves (B) for circadian wrist skin temperature over 24 h across clinical stages. Temperature data were averaged across all available wear days for each participant to create these curves.
| Stage 1a(= 47)n | Stage 1b(= 173)n | Stage 2+(= 76)n | ANCOVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skin temperature parameters | ||||
| Mesor (°C) | 29.36 (0.26) | 29.95 (0.14) | 30.14 (0.21) | (2,291) = 2.81, 0.062F |
| Amplitude (°C) | 1.87 (0.15) | 2.01 (0.08) | 1.99 (0.12) | (2,291) = 0.35, 0.704F |
| Acrophase (radians) | -1.37 (0.17) | -1.45 (0.09) | -1.50 (0.13) | (2,291) = 0.18, 0.834F |
| IS (0-1) | 0.50 (0.03) | 0.53 (0.02) | 0.51 (0.02) | (2,291) = 0.34, 0.715F |
| IV (0-2) | 1.55 (0.06) | 1.50 (0.03) | 1.52 (0.05) | (2,291) = 0.32, 0.724F |
| RA (0-1) | 0.08 (0.004) | 0.08 (0.002) | 0.07 (0.003) | (2,291) = 0.11, 0.898F |
| Sleep-wake parameters | ||||
| Sleep efficiency (%) | 85.9 (0.8) | 84.0 (0.4) | 84.1 (0.6) | (2,291) = 2.20, 0.112F |
| Sleep midpoint (time) | 0353 (0013) | 0414 (0007) | 0407 (0011) | (2,291) = 0.99, 0.374F |
| Sleep duration (h) | *# | * | # | (2,291)F=7.39, < 0.001 |
| SRI (0-100) | *# | * | # | (2,291)F=3.47, 0.032 |
| M10 time (time) | *# | * | # | (2,291)F=6.36, 0.002 |
| MVPA(minutes/day) | *# | * | # | (2,291)F=8.39, < 0.001 |
| TAC (counts/day) | *# | * | # | (2,291)F=12.21, < 0.001 |
| Phase Angle (radians) | 0.29 (0.38) | 0.49 (0.20) | 0.03 (0.30) | (2,291) = 0.822, 0.440F |
Goodness of Fit for the Cosinor Analysis
The goodness of fit for the cosinor analysis was assessed using multiple metrics. The Control versus Mood disorder model showed slightly better fit (R2 = 0.221, root mean square error [RMSE] = 2.316 °C, mean absolute error [MAE] = 1.835 °C) compared to the Tripartite (R2 = 0.206, RMSE = 2.357 °C, MAE = 1.855 °C) and Clinical Stages models (R2 = 0.205, RMSE = 2.368 °C, MAE = 1.866 °C). While the R2 values indicate that approximately 20%-22% of the temperature variance is explained by the models, these results should be interpreted in the context of skin temperature data, which inherently contains substantial variability due to environmental and behavioral factors. The cosinor analysis aims to capture the fundamental 24-h rhythm rather than predict exact temperature values. The relatively consistent fit metrics across all 3 models suggests that the 24-h cosinor function provides a similar level of circadian rhythm characterization regardless of the grouping approach used.
Discussion
In a large clinical sample of 312 youth with emerging mood disorders and 48 healthy controls, we identified several physiological differences in 24-h (daily) skin temperature rhythmicity. This adds to the growing evidence for circadian pathophysiology as a major mediator of the onset or course of illness in at least some subgroups of youth emerging mood disorders. Furthermore, it encourages the use of wearable-derived skin temperature as a scalable, real-world marker of circadian rhythms.
The hypothesis that wrist skin temperature profiles differ between youth with mood disorders and healthy controls was partially supported, demonstrated by a delayed, less stable, and more variable skin temperature rhythm in the whole mood disorder group. However, no differences in amplitude were observed. As skin temperature differences were not evident across clinical stages, but there was some evidence for their relevance to the “circadian-bipolar spectrum” (as evidenced by the reduced relative amplitude in that sub-group), it would seem that these circadian features are a feature of illness subtype as distinct from course (i.e., recurrence, persistence, or chronicity) of illness.
Overall, youth with mood disorders exhibited lower temperature mesors than healthy controls. Previous research has reported mixed findings regarding mean skin temperature in mood disorder populations. For example, Moraes et al. (2013) observed lower nocturnal peripheral temperatures in a small number of older people with depressive disorder (n = 20, mean age = 44 years), whereas Mason et al. (2024) reported higher distal body temperatures during both wakefulness and sleep in a population-based study of people with self-reported depressive symptoms (n > 20,000, mean age = 46.9 years). The latter study also found reduced diurnal amplitude and smaller asleep-awake temperature differences in people with severe depressive symptoms. Differences between our study and others might be due to several factors. First, depression has many forms, and studies like this one designed to examine people early in the course of illness and also looks at separate types based on physiological differences are not common. Beyond this, skin temperature is highly sensitive to environmental conditions, such as ambient temperature and activity levels, which were uncontrolled in our study. This can be exacerbated by contact inconsistency from wrist-form sensors (Smarr et al., 2016). In addition, while the GENEActiv wearable device has a manufacturer-validated temperature sensor, it has not been validated against gold-standard temperature measurement. As reported in the Supplementary Materials (Figures S1-S3)↗, our within-person comparison between GENEActiv and iButton sensors showed similar rhythmic patterns but different absolute temperature values. Another possible source of discrepancy is that we focused on cosinor-based rhythmic patterns rather than time-specific temperature variation. Finally, differences in age (and hence in physiological profiles across study populations) could further explain these divergent findings. Nevertheless, all these studies support the view that disruptions to circadian rhythms and temperature regulation (which may be causally related) provide valuable insights into people with depressive disorders.
Our analysis of skin temperature rhythmicity parameters provides additional insights into circadian disruptions in youth with emerging mood disorders. The mood disorder cohort had delayed acrophase (the timing of peak skin temperature), reduced inter-daily stability (IS), and increased intra-daily variability (IV), indicating more fragmented and less consistent 24-h temperature rhythms. Regarding sleep-wake parameters, we observed lower SRI values and lower moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) in the mood disorder group in the absence of a significant delay in sleep midpoint. This lower IS may reflect weaker synchronization between the circadian system and external cues, such as the light-dark cycle, which could exacerbate problems with mood and other symptoms. Higher IV, indicating greater fragmentation of the temperature rhythm, could suggest autonomic dysregulation (Kalsbeek et al., 2011; Moraes et al., 2013). These analyses also revealed a larger phase angle difference in the mood disorder group, indicating that their peak skin temperature occurred later relative to their sleep midpoint compared to healthy controls. This misalignment between temperature rhythms and sleep timing could be a key factor in the sleep disturbances often reported in mood disorders (e.g., unrefreshing sleep, insomnia/hypersomnia).
While the patterns of skin temperature were similar across illness subtypes and clinical stages, the most notable finding was the lower relative amplitude in wrist skin temperature rhythms of the “circadian-bipolar spectrum” group, consistent with evidence of more pronounced circadian dysfunction in bipolar disorder (McCarthy et al., 2022; Scott et al., 2022). The blunted circadian rhythm in this group may indicate a weakened endogenous circadian pacemaker, which aligns with studies showing diminished circadian amplitude in mood disorders (Bullock and Murray, 2014; Castro et al., 2015; Grierson et al., 2016). Interestingly, while we observed differences in skin temperature relative amplitude between illness subtypes, most sleep-wake parameters remained similar across groups. This dissociation between temperature rhythms and sleep-wake patterns suggests a potential disruption in the normal coupling between these circadian processes. The nature of such internal misalignment is unknown, but could relate to uncoupling of neuronal oscillators within the suprachiasmatic nucleus (central pacemaker), which typically synchronizes circadian processes including sleep-wake cycles and body temperature regulation (Hut and Beersma, 2011). Such uncoupling may result in the desynchronization of circadian physiological markers and behavioral patterns in mood disorders (McCarthy and Welsh, 2012). Moreover, the findings of this study emphasize the importance of examining multiple objective signals, such as skin temperature, rather than relying solely on sleep-wake activity. Skin temperature, as a marker of autonomic and circadian regulation, provides additional insight into physiological rhythms that may not be captured by activity measures alone. Future research should explore these complex interactions, particularly the potential dissociation between central and peripheral circadian processes in cohorts with major mood disorders.
Finally, it is worth noting that in contrast to previous research (Mason et al., 2024), we did not observe relationships between symptom severity measures (e.g., BPRS, YMRS, HDRS) and skin temperature parameters in this mood disorder group (Figure S4↗). Future studies with larger sample sizes, and studies of different subgroups, may uncover more complex relationships between temperature parameters and clinical features.
Our study has several strengths, including the use of non-invasive, wearable, continuous skin temperature measurement in real-world conditions over several days, and the inclusion of different mood disorder subtypes also provide a more nuanced understanding of circadian disturbances in emerging mood disorders. However, the cross-sectional nature of our study limits causal conclusions about the relationship between temperature rhythms and emerging mood disorders. In addition, we did not account for the potential effects of medications, which could influence temperature regulation (Lorenz et al., 2019). While we conducted supplementary analyses controlling for BMI, the substantial difference in missing BMI data between healthy controls (63%) and mood disorder cases (25%) may limit our ability to fully understand the relationship between BMI and temperature rhythms across groups. As this was an observational study in naturalistic (real world) settings, we also did not systematically track exercise and meal timing, although these factors likely have minimal impact on skin temperature compared to core body temperature measurements. Furthermore, we did not collect information about participants’ shift work status, which could potentially influence circadian temperature rhythms.
In conclusion, our findings highlight the potential of skin temperature rhythms as a non-invasive biomarker for circadian disturbances in emerging mood disorders. The observed alterations in temperature patterns and rhythmicity offer valuable insights into the pathophysiology of these conditions, indicating that circadian misalignment may contribute to behavioral, mood, sleep, or metabolic disturbances in this population. This study emphasizes the necessity for further research to explore the implications of these findings for developing targeted interventions aimed at synchronizing circadian rhythms, ultimately enhancing treatment outcomes for young people with mood disorders.